PROBLEM
1. The life expectancy in a demographic model is a random variable with a distribution given by the density
g(t)=1−e−100μμe−μt1[0,100](t) for some parameter μ>0. Determine the median and the mean life expectancy in this model.
STEP 1
1. We are given the probability density function (pdf) g(t)=1−e−100μμe−μt1[0,100](t).
2. The parameter μ is positive (μ>0).
3. We need to determine both the median and the mean of the distribution.
STEP 2
1. Understand the structure of the pdf.
2. Determine the median of the distribution.
3. Calculate the mean of the distribution.
STEP 3
Understand the structure of the pdf:
The given pdf is a truncated exponential distribution on the interval [0,100]. The function 1[0,100](t) indicates that the pdf is zero outside this interval. The term 1−e−100μμ is a normalizing constant ensuring the total probability integrates to 1 over [0,100].
STEP 4
Determine the median of the distribution:
The median m is the value such that the cumulative distribution function (CDF) equals 0.5.
∫0mg(t)dt=0.5 Substitute the pdf:
∫0m1−e−100μμe−μtdt=0.5
STEP 5
Solve for the median:
Calculate the integral:
∫0me−μtdt=[−μ1e−μt]0m=−μ1(e−μm−1) Set the equation:
1−e−100μμ(−μ1(e−μm−1))=0.5 Simplify:
1−e−100μ1−e−μm=0.5 Solve for m:
1−e−μm=0.5(1−e−100μ) e−μm=1−0.5(1−e−100μ) e−μm=0.5+0.5e−100μ −μm=ln(0.5+0.5e−100μ) m=−μ1ln(0.5+0.5e−100μ)
STEP 6
Calculate the mean of the distribution:
The mean E[T] is given by:
E[T]=∫0100t⋅g(t)dt Substitute the pdf:
E[T]=∫0100t⋅1−e−100μμe−μtdt
SOLUTION
Solve for the mean:
Integrate by parts, let u=t and dv=1−e−100μμe−μtdt.
du=dt v=[−1−e−100μ1e−μt] Apply integration by parts:
E[T]=[−1−e−100μte−μt]0100+∫01001−e−100μ1e−μtdt Calculate:
E[T]=(−1−e−100μ100e−100μ+0)+1−e−100μ1[−μ1e−μt]0100 E[T]=−1−e−100μ100e−100μ+μ(1−e−100μ)1(1−e−100μ) E[T]=μ1−1−e−100μ100e−100μ The median life expectancy is:
m=−μ1ln(0.5+0.5e−100μ) The mean life expectancy is:
E[T]=μ1−1−e−100μ100e−100μ
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