Math  /  Data & Statistics

QuestionA poll in 2017 reported that 697 out of 1034 adults in a certain country believe that marijuana should be legalized. When this poll about the same subject was first conducted in 1969 , only 12%12 \% of the adults of the country supported legalization. Assume the conditions for using the CLT are met. Complete parts (a) through (d) below. a. Find and interpret a 99%99 \% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the country in 2017 that believe marijuana should be legalized.
The 99\% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the country in 2017 that believe marijuana should be legalized is ( \square , (Round to three decimal places as needed.)

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

What is this asking? We need to find a range of plausible values, with 99% confidence, for the true proportion of adults who support marijuana legalization in 2017, based on a poll. Watch out! Don't mix up the sample proportion with the true population proportion!
Also, remember to correctly interpret the meaning of the confidence interval.

STEP 2

1. Calculate the sample proportion.
2. Calculate the margin of error.
3. Construct the confidence interval.

STEP 3

Let's **dive in**!
We're given that **697** out of **1034** adults support legalization.
We can write this as a fraction to find the **sample proportion**, often denoted as p^\hat{p}.

STEP 4

So, p^=Number of adults who support legalizationTotal number of adults polled=6971034\hat{p} = \frac{\text{Number of adults who support legalization}}{\text{Total number of adults polled}} = \frac{697}{1034}.

STEP 5

Calculating this gives us p^0.674\hat{p} \approx 0.674.
This means that approximately **67.4%** of the polled adults supported legalization in 2017.

STEP 6

The **margin of error** tells us how much "wiggle room" we have around our sample proportion.
It's calculated using the formula E=zp^(1p^)nE = z^* \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}, where zz^* is the **critical value** associated with our desired confidence level, p^\hat{p} is our **sample proportion**, and nn is our **sample size**.

STEP 7

For a **99% confidence level**, the critical value zz^* is **2.576**.
We found our p^\hat{p} to be approximately **0.674**, and our sample size nn is **1034**.

STEP 8

Plugging these values into our formula, we get E=2.5760.674(10.674)10342.5760.6740.32610342.5760.219610342.5760.0002122.5760.01460.0376E = 2.576 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.674(1-0.674)}{1034}} \approx 2.576 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.674 \cdot 0.326}{1034}} \approx 2.576 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.2196}{1034}} \approx 2.576 \cdot \sqrt{0.000212} \approx 2.576 \cdot 0.0146 \approx 0.0376.

STEP 9

The **confidence interval** is calculated as p^±E\hat{p} \pm E.
This means we take our **sample proportion** and add and subtract the **margin of error** to get a range of values.

STEP 10

Using our calculated values, the confidence interval is 0.674±0.03760.674 \pm 0.0376.
This gives us a lower bound of 0.6740.0376=0.63640.674 - 0.0376 = 0.6364 and an upper bound of 0.674+0.0376=0.71160.674 + 0.0376 = 0.7116.

STEP 11

Rounding to three decimal places, our **99% confidence interval** is (0.636,0.712)(0.636, 0.712).

STEP 12

The 99% confidence interval for the proportion of adults in the country in 2017 that believe marijuana should be legalized is (0.636, 0.712).

Was this helpful?

Studdy solves anything!

banner

Start learning now

Download Studdy AI Tutor now. Learn with ease and get all help you need to be successful at school.

ParentsInfluencer programContactPolicyTerms
TwitterInstagramFacebookTikTokDiscord