Math  /  Data & Statistics

QuestionA student was asked to find a 98%98 \% confidence interval for the population proportion of students who take notes using data from a random sample of size n=90n=90. Which of the following is a correct interpretation of the interval 0.1<p<0.310.1<p<0.31 ?
Check all that are correct. There is a 98\% chance that the proportion of the population is between 0.1 and 0.31 . The proportion of all students who take notes is between 0.1 and 0.31,98%0.31,98 \% of the time. With 98%98 \% confidence, a randomly selected student takes notes in a proportion of their classes that is between 0.1 and 0.31 . With 98%98 \% confidence, the proportion of all students who take notes is between 0.1 and 0.31 . There is a 98%98 \% chance that the proportion of notetakers in a sample of 90 students will be between 0.1 and 0.31 .

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

What is this asking? Which statements correctly describe what a 98% confidence interval from 0.1 to 0.31 *actually* means? Watch out! Confidence intervals are tricky!
Don't confuse the chances of a *single* sample with the confidence over *many* samples.

STEP 2

1. Understand Confidence Intervals
2. Analyze the Statements

STEP 3

Imagine taking tons of samples of 90 students and calculating a confidence interval from each sample.
A 98% confidence level means that about 98% of those intervals would *actually* contain the *true* proportion of *all* students who take notes.
It's about the long-run success rate of the *method*, not about a single interval!

STEP 4

"There is a 98% chance that the proportion of the population is between 0.1 and 0.31." This is wrong!
The true proportion is a fixed, but unknown, value.
It's either in the interval or it's not.
There's no probability involved for a single interval.

STEP 5

"The proportion of all students who take notes is between 0.1 and 0.310.31, 98% of the time." This is also incorrect.
The population proportion doesn't change over time (at least not in the context of this problem!). It's a constant value.

STEP 6

"With 98% confidence, a randomly selected student takes notes in a proportion of their classes that is between 0.1 and 0.310.31." Nope, this isn't right either.
The confidence interval is about the *population* proportion, not about individual students.

STEP 7

"With 98% confidence, the proportion of *all* students who take notes is between 0.1 and 0.310.31." Yes!
This is the correct interpretation.
It means we're 98% confident that our interval captures the true proportion of note-takers among *all* students.

STEP 8

"There is a 98% chance that the proportion of notetakers in a sample of 90 students will be between 0.1 and 0.310.31." This is incorrect.
The confidence interval is about the *population* proportion, not the sample proportion.
We already *know* the sample proportion from our data; it's the *population* proportion we're trying to estimate.

STEP 9

The only correct statement is: With 98% confidence, the proportion of all students who take notes is between 0.1 and 0.310.31.

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