Math  /  Data & Statistics

QuestionIn a large clinical trial, 398,307 children were randomly assigned to two groups. The treatment group consisted of 197,816 children given a vaccine for a certain disease, and 37 of those children developed the disease. The other 200,491 children were given a placebo, and 146 of those children developed the disease. Consider the vaccine treatment group to be the first sample. Identify the values of n1,p^1,q^1,n2,p^2,q^2,pˉn_{1}, \hat{p}_{1}, \hat{q}_{1}, n_{2}, \hat{p}_{2}, \hat{q}_{2}, \bar{p}, and qˉ\bar{q}. n1=\mathrm{n}_{1}=\square

Studdy Solution

STEP 1

What is this asking? We need to calculate some important values from a clinical trial where one group got a vaccine and the other a placebo.
These values will help us understand how effective the vaccine was! Watch out! Don't mix up the groups!
Keep the vaccine group and the placebo group separate in your mind.
Also, remember that p^\hat{p} represents the *observed* proportion of successes (developing the disease), and q^\hat{q} is the observed proportion of *failures* (not developing the disease).

STEP 2

1. Define the variables for group 1 (vaccine).
2. Calculate q^1\hat{q}_1.
3. Define the variables for group 2 (placebo).
4. Calculate q^2\hat{q}_2.
5. Calculate pˉ\bar{p}.
6. Calculate qˉ\bar{q}.

STEP 3

The **first group**, n1n_1, is the **vaccine group**.
We're told there are n1=197,816n_1 = \mathbf{197,816} children in this group.

STEP 4

Out of these, 37\mathbf{37} children developed the disease.
This gives us p^1\hat{p}_1, the **proportion** of children in the vaccine group who developed the disease.
So, p^1=37197,8160.000187\hat{p}_1 = \frac{37}{197,816} \approx \mathbf{0.000187}.

STEP 5

q^1\hat{q}_1 represents the proportion of children in the vaccine group who *didn't* develop the disease.
Since everyone either developed the disease or didn't, p^1\hat{p}_1 and q^1\hat{q}_1 add to one.
So, q^1=1p^1=10.0001870.999813\hat{q}_1 = 1 - \hat{p}_1 = 1 - 0.000187 \approx \mathbf{0.999813}.

STEP 6

The **second group**, n2n_2, is the **placebo group**.
There are n2=200,491n_2 = \mathbf{200,491} children in this group.

STEP 7

In this group, 146\mathbf{146} children developed the disease.
So, p^2=146200,4910.000728\hat{p}_2 = \frac{146}{200,491} \approx \mathbf{0.000728}.

STEP 8

Just like before, q^2\hat{q}_2 is the proportion of the placebo group who *didn't* develop the disease.
So, q^2=1p^2=10.0007280.999272\hat{q}_2 = 1 - \hat{p}_2 = 1 - 0.000728 \approx \mathbf{0.999272}.

STEP 9

pˉ\bar{p} is the **overall proportion** of children (from *both* groups) who developed the disease.
The total number of children who developed the disease is 37+146=18337 + 146 = \mathbf{183}.
The total number of children in the study is 197,816+200,491=398,307197,816 + 200,491 = \mathbf{398,307}.
Therefore, pˉ=183398,3070.000459\bar{p} = \frac{183}{398,307} \approx \mathbf{0.000459}.

STEP 10

qˉ\bar{q} is the overall proportion of children who *didn't* develop the disease.
So, qˉ=1pˉ=10.0004590.999541\bar{q} = 1 - \bar{p} = 1 - 0.000459 \approx \mathbf{0.999541}.

STEP 11

n1=197,816n_1 = \mathbf{197,816}, p^10.000187\hat{p}_1 \approx \mathbf{0.000187}, q^10.999813\hat{q}_1 \approx \mathbf{0.999813} n2=200,491n_2 = \mathbf{200,491}, p^20.000728\hat{p}_2 \approx \mathbf{0.000728}, q^20.999272\hat{q}_2 \approx \mathbf{0.999272} pˉ0.000459\bar{p} \approx \mathbf{0.000459}, qˉ0.999541\bar{q} \approx \mathbf{0.999541}

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