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Math

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PROBLEM

Let A,BA, B be two independent events of a sample space, where P(A)=0.4P(A)=0.4, P(Bˉ)=0.6P(\bar{B})=0.6. Then P(AˉB)=P(\bar{A} \cup B)=
0.8
0.2
0.76
0.18
None of these

STEP 1

What is this asking?
What's the probability of not A happening or B happening, if A and B are independent?
Watch out!
Don't mix up "and" and "or," and remember how independence works!

STEP 2

1. Find P(B)
2. Find P(not A)
3. Apply the formula for P(not A or B)

STEP 3

We're given P(Bˉ)=0.6P(\bar{B}) = 0.6, which means the probability of B not happening is 0.6.
Since B either happens or it doesn't, the probabilities must add to one!
So, P(B)=1P(Bˉ)P(B) = 1 - P(\bar{B}).

STEP 4

Let's calculate P(B)P(B):
P(B)=10.6=0.4P(B) = 1 - 0.6 = 0.4 So, the probability of B happening is 0.4!

STEP 5

We're given P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4.
Similar to what we did before, since A either happens or it doesn't, we know P(Aˉ)=1P(A)P(\bar{A}) = 1 - P(A).

STEP 6

Let's calculate P(Aˉ)P(\bar{A}):
P(Aˉ)=10.4=0.6P(\bar{A}) = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6 So, the probability of A not happening is 0.6!

STEP 7

Since A and B are independent, we can use the formula: P(AˉB)=P(Aˉ)+P(B)P(AˉB)P(\bar{A} \cup B) = P(\bar{A}) + P(B) - P(\bar{A} \cap B), where P(AˉB)=P(Aˉ)P(B)P(\bar{A} \cap B) = P(\bar{A}) \cdot P(B).
This formula tells us the probability of not A happening or B happening (or both!). The last term accounts for the overlap, so we don't double-count when both events happen.

STEP 8

First, let's calculate the probability of both not A and B happening:
P(AˉB)=P(Aˉ)P(B)=0.60.4=0.24P(\bar{A} \cap B) = P(\bar{A}) \cdot P(B) = 0.6 \cdot 0.4 = 0.24

STEP 9

Now, let's plug everything into our formula:
P(AˉB)=P(Aˉ)+P(B)P(AˉB)=0.6+0.40.24P(\bar{A} \cup B) = P(\bar{A}) + P(B) - P(\bar{A} \cap B) = 0.6 + 0.4 - 0.24

STEP 10

Finally, let's calculate the result:
P(AˉB)=0.6+0.40.24=10.24=0.76P(\bar{A} \cup B) = 0.6 + 0.4 - 0.24 = 1 - 0.24 = 0.76

SOLUTION

The probability of not A happening or B happening is 0.76!

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